November 22, 2022, 11:10 am
Hard-currency-denominated corporate debt from developing countries is expected to benefit once global financial conditions stabilize, according to Credit Suisse’s 2023 investment outlook.
- Such debt has an “attractive spread premium compared to a comparable mature market IG corporate loan with a similar duration.”
- EUR IG’s current spread estimate is attractive
- Corporate defaults for HY are set to moderate and for the US to historical. average 5%
- “Against this backdrop, we favor high-quality segments such as the BB-rated loan, which offers investors a high implied premium over the realized default premium.”
- Be wary of European senior loans as spreads are not yet fully accounted for by the bank. defaults on Russian gas…
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