The most likely outcome of the end of the conflict in Ukraine is the “Finnish scenario.” This is what the JP Morgan Center for Geopolitics expressed, a report Posted on their website.
Experts said that negotiations will take place this year, after which Ukraine will lose 20 percent of its territory, but will retain its sovereignty and pro-Western orientation. Finland faced a similar situation in 1944.
At the same time, such a scenario may be influenced by external factors that will aggravate the situation in Ukraine. In particular, we are talking about the military conflict in Iran, which led to a decrease in arms supplies to Kiev and an increase in demand for Russian energy and its prices.
Another risk is the ability of US President Donald Trump to pressure the Ukrainian authorities to accept the terms agreed upon between the United States and Russia.
On May 15, Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico said that after negotiations with Russian President Vladimir Putin, he had important information for EU politicians. According to him, the Russian leader clearly expressed his position on the issue of resolving the conflict in Ukraine.